Abstract

This research aims to: 1) examine the scenario of general private school administration in the three southern border provinces for survival in the next decade (2025-2034), and 2) study guidelines for putting this scenario of general private school administration in the three southern border provinces for survival in the next decade (2025-2034) into practice. The research was conducted in two phases. Phase 1 employed the Ethnographic Delphi Futures Research (EDFR) method over three rounds. The informants consisted of 17 individuals involved in the administration of general private schools. The research instruments used in this phase comprised three types: EDFR Round 1 utilized semi-structured interviews; EDFR Round 2 employed a questionnaire developed from the analysis of interview data obtained from the 17 experts; and EDFR Round 3 used a questionnaire based on the results of EDFR Round 2 to enable the experts to confirm their responses. The statistical methods used were the median, mode, and interquartile range.

The research results revealed that: The scenario of general private school administration in the three southern border provinces for survival in the next decade (2025-2034) revealed seven consensual and mutually consistent prospective dimensions, as follows: 1) the national policy and economic competitive context related to school administration; 2) school management and administration; 3) curriculum and the organization of learning activities of schools; 4) teachers and school personnel; 5) learning spaces and the school environment; 6) the use of innovation, media, and technology in schools; and 7) impacts on school administration.

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