Extreme Value Theory: a New Characterization of the Distribution Function for the Mixed Method


  •  Kane Ladji    
  •  Diawara Daouda    
  •  Diallo Moumouni    

Abstract

Consider the sample X1, X2, ..., XN of N independent and identically distributed (iid) random variables with common cumulative distribution function (cdf)F, and let Fu be their conditional excess distribution function F. We define the ordered sample by . Pickands (1975), Balkema and de Haan (1974) posed that for a large class of underlying distribution functions F , and large u ,Fu is well approximated by the Generalized Pareto Distribution.The mixed method is a method for determining thresholds. This method consists in minimizing the variance of a convex combination of other thresholds.

The objective of the mixed method is to determine by which probability distribution one can approach this conditional distribution. In this article, we propose a theorem which specifies the conditional distribution of excesses when the deterministic threshold tends to the end point.



This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.