Predicting Future Land Use Change Using Support Vector Machine Based GIS Cellular Automata: A Case of Lagos, Nigeria
- Onuwa Okwuashi
- Jack McConchie
- Peter Nwilo
- Mfon Isong
- Aniekan Eyoh
- Okey Nwanekezie
- Etim Eyo
- Aniekan Ekpo
Abstract
Lagos has undergone an unprecedented urban expansion. Contemporary findings favour the integration of cellular automata and geographic information systems for modelling land use change. This research introduces the support vector machine based GIS cellular automata calibration for land use change prediction of Lagos. The support vector machine based cellular automata model is loosely coupled with the geographic information systems. Support vector machine parameters are optimised with the k-fold cross-validation technique, using the linear, polynomial, and RBF kernels functions. The land use change prediction is based on three land use epochs: 1963-1978, 1978-1984, and 1984-2000. The performance of the model was evaluated using the Kappa statistic and receiver operating characteristic; which shows the order of performance of the three kernels: RBF, polynomial, and linear. The results indicate substantial agreement between the actual and predicted maps. The urban forms in 2015 and 2030 are predicted based on the three land use epochs.
- Full Text:
PDF
- DOI:10.5539/jsd.v5n5p132
Journal Metrics
h-index (2017): 33
i10-index (2017): 81
h5-Index (2017): 18
h5-Media (2017): 25
Index
- Academic Journals Database
- ACNP
- AGRICOLA
- ANVUR (Italian National Agency for the Evaluation of Universities and Research Institutes)
- Berkeley Library
- CAB Abstracts
- CNKI Scholar
- COPAC
- CrossRef
- DTU Library
- EBSCOhost
- Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek (EZB)
- EuroPub Database
- Excellence in Research for Australia (ERA)
- Genamics JournalSeek
- GETIT@YALE (Yale University Library)
- Ghent University Library
- Google Scholar
- Harvard Library
- INDEX ISLAMICUS
- Infotrieve
- Jisc Library Hub Discover
- JournalGuide
- JournalTOCs
- LOCKSS
- Max Planck Institutes
- MIAR
- Mir@bel
- NewJour
- Norwegian Centre for Research Data (NSD)
- Open J-Gate
- PKP Open Archives Harvester
- Pollution Abstracts
- Publons
- Pubmed journal list
- RePEc
- ROAD
- SafetyLit
- Scilit
- SHERPA/RoMEO
- Standard Periodical Directory
- Stanford Libraries
- UCR Library
- Ulrich's
- UniCat
- Universe Digital Library
- UoS Library
- WorldCat
- WorldWideScience
- Zeitschriften Daten Bank (ZDB)
Contact
- Sherry SunEditorial Assistant
- jsd@ccsenet.org