Abstract

To contribute to the prediction of rainfall-related disasters, specific concentration factors that indicate the suspended solid (SS), total nitrogen (TN), and total phosphorus (TP) load intensities to river water for each land-use type were calculated using a simple watershed land-use model across Japan by applying the following multiple regression equation, according to the land-use ratios and published SS, TN and TP data.

C=i=14aixi

C: SS, TN and TP concentrations (mg L^-1); a_i: SS, TN and TP specific concentration factor for land use i; x_i: ratio of land use i; land use: 1 paddy fields, 2 upland fields, 3 forests, 4 urban areas.

The land-use ratios for watersheds, whose lower ends were observation points of river water quality, were determined by the GIS technique using a published database of DEM and LULC mesh data. The SS specific concentration factor was 15.4 (from a 95% lower limit value of 12.0 to a 95% upper limit value of 18.8), 11.5 (7.4 to 15.6), 3.9 (2.6 to 5.1), and 11.2 (9.2 to 13.2) for paddy fields, upland fields, forests and urban areas, respectively (n=5103). The TN specific concentration factor was 1.67 (from a 95% lower limit value of 1.34 to a 95% upper limit value of 2.01), 4.08 (3.64 to 4.51), 0.76 (0.67 to 0.90), and 3.57 (3.38 to 3.76) for paddy fields, upland fields, forests and urban areas, respectively (n=3256). The TP specific concentration factor was 0.146 (from a 95% lower limit value of 0.119 to a 95% upper limit value of 0.172), 0.172 (0.138 to 0.206), 0.044 (0.033 to 0.055), and 0.267 (0.253 to 0.282) for paddy fields, upland fields, forests and urban areas, respectively (n=3256). These specific concentration factors had regional tendencies, such as suburban or rural, intensive or extensive agriculture, and so on.

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