Abstract

As a model for energy transition to low-carbon economy, Denmark is of great importance for studying internal relationships between economic growth, both energy consumption and production, and Carbon emissions. Based on Denmark’s data for the total consumption of petroleum oil and gas resources, total production of oil and gas resources, gross domestic product(constant 2010 US$) and CO₂ emissions over the time span 1984-2016, Johansen test shows that there is no cointegration relationship between CO₂ emissions and oil and gas consumption, and the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) boundary cointegration test shows that there is no cointegration relationship between CO₂ emissions and economic growth. Nevertheless, ARDL boundary cointegration test is used to confirm the existence of cointegration between economic growth and both the energy production and consumption. We then establish an error correction model to analyze the short-term relationship between these two cointegrated metrics. The Granger causality test indicates that there is one-way causality between economic growth and energy consumption and energy production; in particular, economic changes help explain changes of energy consumption and production in the future. Finally, the empirical analysis results are further discussed with consideration of Denmark’s energy policies and the current state of its energy economy. The results of the present study can help the other countries in the design of energy development, the clean and low carbon energy transition policies for sustainable and long-term economic development.

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