A Family of Non Linear Models in a Market with Semi Markov Regimes: Application to the Commodity and the Derivative Market


  •  Patrick Assonken    
  •  Gangaram S. Ladde    

Abstract

This paper introduces a family of coupled semi Markov regime switching multidimensional non linear models for general asset prices. Two particular instances of the models are explored. The first instance is one modeling commodity prices. Estimation formulas for historical parameters are developed. The second instance of the family of models introduced is one generalizing Heston model. It allows for semi Markov regime switching of Heston parameters. We develop a general semi closed formula for vanilla option prices given the risk neutral option parameters.


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