On the Dichotomy between the Psychological or Empirical Aspect of Subjective Probability and the Logical or Geometrical One


  •  Pierpaolo Angelini    
  •  Antonio Maturo    

Abstract

In the domain of the logic of certainty we examine the objective notions of the subjective probability with the clear aim of identifying their fundamental characteristics before the assignment, by the individual, of the probabilistic evaluation. Probability is an additional and subjective notion that one applies within the range of possibility, thus giving rise to those gradations, more or less probable, that are meaningless in the logic of certainty. Each criterion for evaluations under conditions of uncertainty is a device or instrument for obtaining a measurement; it furnishes an operational definition of probability or prevision P and together with the corresponding conditions of coherence can be taken as a foundation for the entire theory of probability. When we examine these criteria and their corresponding conditions of coherence we show the inevitable dichotomy between the subjective or psychological or empirical aspect of probability and the objective or logical or geometrical one.



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