Statistical Modeling and Forecast of the Corona-Virus Disease (Covid-19) in Burkina Faso
- VICTORIEN F. KONANE
- Ali TRAORE
Abstract
In this paper, we present and discuss a statistical modeling framework for the coronavirus COVID-19 epidemic in Burkina Faso. We give a detailed analysis of well-known models, the ARIMA and the Exponential Smoothing model.
The main purpose is to provide a prediction of the cumulative number of confirmed cases to help authorities to take better decision.
We made prediction of the cumulative number of cases from 4th may to 2nd June.
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- DOI:10.5539/ijsp.v9n6p76
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
- ISSN(Print): 1927-7032
- ISSN(Online): 1927-7040
- Started: 2012
- Frequency: bimonthly
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