Does the Dogs of the Dow Theory Work at the Sectoral Level?

  •  Doh-Khul Kim    
  •  Michelle Nguyen    
  •  Kyle Arbet    


One of popular theories in technical analysis is the Dogs of the Dow (DoD) theory. According to this strategy, the average market can be outperformed using 30 firms of Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index. Since DoD was introduced, there have been numerous studies on the validity of the theory. However, only contradicting results have been found, so the research has produced no robust consensus on the theory. In addition, most of the research was performed using aggregate stock market data. The purpose of our research is to determine whether the DoD theory is valid at the sectoral level. We find that returns of top 5 highest dividend-yield firms are higher than average return of each sector. However, the additional returns of those 5 firms are not meaningful enough if we take into account tax on profits and trading costs, which does not validate the DoD theory at the sectoral level.

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