Justification of Wold’s Theorem and the Unbiasedness of a Stable Vector Autoregressive Time Series Model Forecasts
- Iberedem Iwok
Abstract
In this work, the multivariate analogue to the univariate Wold’s theorem for a purely non-deterministic stable vector time series process was presented and justified using the method of undetermined coefficients. By this method, a finite vector autoregressive process of order [] was represented as an infinite vector moving average () process which was found to be the same as the Wold’s representation. Thus, obtaining the properties of a process is equivalent to obtaining the properties of an infinite process. The proof of the unbiasedness of forecasts followed immediately based on the fact that a stable VAR process can be represented as an infinite VEMA process.
- Full Text: PDF
- DOI:10.5539/ijsp.v6n2p1
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
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