Based on ECM Modelling for Daily Turnover and Close Index of Chinese Stock Markets

Abstract

By making use of test for stationary, Granger, co-integration, we study the daily turnover and daily close index of Chinese stock markets from 1991 to 2011. We strive to find how Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets interact each other, there really exist a long-run equilibrium equation among the daily close index,daily turnover of Shanghai (Shenzhen) market and daily close index of Shenzhen (Shanghai) market, to establish the two-order bivariate error correction model(ECM)for two Chinese stock markets respectively. We also further analyze the act of the fluctuation of daily close index of the two markets in short-term.