Research on Prediction of Shanghai’s Population Development from 2008 to 2050

Abstract

Based on the latest statistic data of Shanghai’s population during 1952-2007, a grey model with the pretreatment of data is established for prediction and researching on the Shanghai’s future household registration population up to the year 2050. This model’s feasibility is illustrated compared with other grey models. The result shows that at the end of 2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 Shanghai’s population will reach 13.868, 14.047, 14.974, 15.962, 17.016, 18.138 million, respectively.