Credit Scoring Model for Iranian Banking Customers and Forecasting Creditworthiness of Borrowers

Samira Mansouri, Mojtaba Dastoori

Abstract


Credit risk is one of important challenges facing banks and credit institutions in all economic systems.
Accordingly, much research has focused on credit scoring of bank customers and to predict and classify solvent
customers and insolvent customers. In this line, the present study has attempted to identify and employ financial
ratios affecting the creditworthiness of banking customers using discriminant analysis and logistic regression to
determine the reliability of different credit scoring models in predicting creditworthiness of banking customers.
To do so, customers’ credit files in one of the branches of commercial Iranian banks in Province were
investigated and totally 54 creditable firms and 46 non-creditable firms were identified. The creditworthiness of
these firms was determined through discriminant analysis and logic regression using financial information
obtained from the sample firms from 2006 to 2011. The results of the study indicated that the two fitted models
are reasonable reliable in predicting the creditworthiness of banking customers. However, the logic regression
model had a higher discrimination power than the discriminant analysis model.

Full Text: PDF DOI: 10.5539/ibr.v6n10p25

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International Business Research  ISSN 1913-9004 (Print), ISSN 1913-9012 (Online)

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