China’s Macroeconomy Forecasting Research during 2008-2012

Kepei Men, Liangyu Jiang, Xinfan Men


According to the latest statistical data from the “China Statistical Yearbook-2007” and “Statistical Communique of the People’s Republic of China on the 2007 National Economy and Social Development”, the optimal grey model with logarithm new development coefficient is established by filtrating, to analyse and forecast China’s macroeconomy development during 2008-2010. The results show that Chinese GDP in 2008 will reach RMB 28695.01 billion, it will arrive at RMB 39064.59 billion at the end of 2010, which is about 3.94 times of 2000. The expected goals planned by eleventh five-year will be achieved successfully.

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